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"While the rest of us are changing our light bulbs and trying to cut down on car journeys, the super rich are making choices which are emitting 60 to 80 times the greenhouse gases that would be emitted if they made the same journey by train. It is obscene." -Leo Murray, spokesman for Plane Stupid, campaigning against Heathrow airport expansion.
JETS, AIRSHIPS AND CLIMATE CHANGE
By William Thomas
Heathrow's fifth terminal was approved with a cap of 480,000 flights a year. The new runway will raise them to 720,000, George Monbiot reported in the Guardian, causing “a massive northern expansion of the noise zone” exceeding 57 decibels, that will sweep over “much of London and the counties west of Heathrow.” While helping shove greenhouse gas emission over the brink of irreversible climate shit. In researching his book on how we might achieve a 90% cut in carbon emissions by 2030, Monbiot discovered, “greatly to my surprise, that every other source of global warming can be reduced or replaced to that degree without a serious reduction in our freedoms. But there is no means of sustaining long-distance, high-speed travel.” Airlines say they will make jet engines more efficient to reduce emissions of carbon dioxide. The favored method is to swap current engines for “open rotor” turbines, which are much noisier.
A caveat on every airline voucher should read: “Buy the ticket and take the ride.”
Faced with rising fuel costs and environmental restrictions, packed planes are "going to make travel even less pleasant," foresees BAC's John Weber. After writing a book about air rage, Andrew Thomas expects hostility to keep pace with rising passenger levels rise. People are "more stressed out," he says.
[USA Today April 14/05] Lynchpin of the body's immune, hormonal and metabolic rhythms, the pea-size pineal gland is releases brain cell-protecting and sleep-inducing melatonin at dusk. But jetting across several time zones - particularly while outpacing the sun by flying west-to-east -melatonin is messed up. “The ability to think clearly, remember key facts, and make sound decisions can be profoundly hampered by these upsets in the biological clock,” reports the Cognitive Enhancement Research Institute. Michael Smolensky, professor of environmental psychology at the University of Texas, has seen “a lot of bad decisions made by jet-lagged employees who weren't alert, where the company also got sold down the line when people make decisions when they weren't capable of doing it.” [PR Newswire March 28/02; Smart Drugs II: The Next Generation] Frequent flyers also face the same radiation that is decimating long-haul flight crews. New York-based medical physicist Robert Barish urges anyone flying more than 75,000 miles a year be declared a “radiation worker” - just like airline pilots and flight attendants, who became official “radiation workers” with an FAA ruling in 1996. Because of negligible ozone shielding at altitudes above 35,000 feet, the radiation streaming invisibly through fuselages, bones and tissue is hundreds of times more intense than at ground level. Following a May 2000 EU directive requiring member airlines to assess flight crew exposure to the radiation resulting when energetic particles strike the stratosphere, pilots now wear radiation dosimeters in the cockpit.
Jetliners are already breaching the EU's limits for nitrogen dioxide pollution, making current airport use unlawful, Monbiot points out. Now the number of flights will nearly double. Depending on government or independent academic figures, by 2050 the greenhouse gases produced by the UK's air passengers will equate to between 91% and 258% of the carbon dioxide the government says the entire British economy should be producing. “Its airport expansion plans, in conjunction with those of other nations, will cause runaway climate change even if we were to spend the rest of our lives shivering in the dark,” Monbiot writes. “So much for the economic benefits of new runways.” [monbiot.com;
Guardian Aug 21/07]
“This is now broadly understood by almost everyone I meet,” George Monbiot observes. But it has had no impact whatever on their behavior. When I challenge my friends about their planned weekend in Rome or their holiday in Florida, they respond with a strange, distant smile and avert their eyes. They just want to enjoy themselves. Who am I to spoil their fun? The moral dissonance is deafening.”
[AlterNet Mar 1/06] Passengers receiving the equivalent of a chest X-ray for every four hours of flight, do not wear dosimeters. A round trip between New York and LA exposes everyone onboard to at least two-and-a-half full-body X-rays.
When solar flares send radiation levels soaring, astronauts receive advance warning to duck behind special shielding. Airline passengers remain oblivious. But their DNA does not.
[Geophysical Research Letters Mar 2/05]
Flight attendants and pilots working an average of 16 weeks during pregnancy are also suffering nearly double the rate of miscarriages as women on the ground. British Airways grounds flight crews when pregnancy is announced. But not pregnant passengers exposing their fetuses to high levels of radiation.
[Journal Occupational Environmental Medicine 1998] Like corporations peddling cell phones, tobacco, microwave ovens and lethal pharmaceuticals, giant airline companies intent on bottom line survival continue to downplay the health hazards of high-altitude flight. This must be why medical studies published by the UK Department for Transport - as well as such peer-reviewed medical journals as the Occupational Environmental Medicine, Aviation Space and Environmental Medicine. Health Physics, British Medical Journal, Cancer Causes and Control, and Health Physics - have looked into:
“Possible Effects On Health Of Aircraft Cabin Environments”, “Air Canada Pilots: Mortality, Cancer Incidence, And Leukemia”, “Exposure To Cosmic Radiation Of British Airways Flying Crew On Ultra-Longhaul”, “Cancer Incidence In United States Air Force Aircrews”, “British Airways Flightdeck Mortality Study”, “Galactic Cosmic Radiation Exposure Of Pregnant Aircrew Members”, “Incidence Of Cancer Among Finnish Airline Cabin Attendants”, “Risk Of Breast Cancer In Female Flight Attendants”, “Evaluation Of The Cosmic-Radiation Exposures Of Flight Attendants” and an “Overview Of Aircraft Radiation Exposure”.
[bbc.co.uk] Diverting “bleed air” from the engines into the cabin would help. But this increases fuel consumption. As Farrol Kahn, head of the Aviation Health Institute in the UK points out, “The airlines don't want to circulate 100% fresh air in the cabins on the grounds of cost.” [BBC Nov 10/00] Contrast this with flight in solar-airships currently under development. Strolling through gondolas where panoramic windows are open to fresh air, while wafting “jet lag-free” across slow-moving time zones, burning no hydrocarbons, unfazed by high-altitude and electromagnetic radiation from non-emitting Direct Current motors and aircraft systems, and arriving at your destination refreshed and rejuvenated by a uniquely pleasurable experience - what's not to like?
Flying two pounds of pesticide-laced asparagus from California to Britain uses 900-times more energy than the organic home-grown equivalent. Depositing the spoor of their passage directly into the stratosphere, jet aircraft emissions have 2.7-times the environmental impact of those on the ground. [Independent May 28/05] Don't blame the planes. It's just the nature of these aerial workhorses. But like any herd grown far too numerous, their grazing the atmosphere and leaving persistent damaging waste in their wakes are threatening our planet with the biggest crash of all.
The only question is, will the crash of the global airline industry come in time before our planet becomes a hellish nightmare of dead oceans, failed crops and rising seas? Unless the government takes action to restrict demand for flights, carbon dioxide emissions from air travel could account for two-thirds of the UK's aggressive emissions targets by 2050.
[Guardian Oct 17/06] Creatures of another realm, jets prefer to cruise in the cold, airless reaches of the stratosphere, more than two miles above the Earth. Pollutants linger here. By the time a New York-departed 747 descends into Ireland, some 239,000 pounds of “Jet A” will have left a trail of kerosene soot, other heat-trapping gases and ozone-destroying chemicals in its wake. Though soot accounts for only 1% of jet emissions, more than a million metric tons are released into Earth's recirculating stratosphere every month. The moisture that condenses around these and other nuclei from millions of jet exhausts forms clouds that are heating the Earth. [Ecodecision 1995] Already, commercial and military jets have stolen our skies. For every kilogram of fuel burned more than three pounds of water vapor is produced by jet engines and injected directly into the cold, narrow stratospheric layer at an altitude of 10-11 kilometers, where it will do the most lingering damage. Water vapor is a potent greenhouse gas, carpeting the skies with contrails, and trapping far more heat than CO2. A British Royal Commission reports, ""Switching from kerosene to hydrogen, would replace carbon dioxide from aircraft with a three-fold increase in emissions of water vapor." Each additional 5% increase in cloud cover caused by contrails results in a regional temperature increase of one full degree. In fact, David Travis and his colleagues at the University of Wisconsin-Whitewater have found that nighttime temperatures more than more than two degrees Fahrenheit greater in the presence of contrails.
When tied to heat-driven weather events… "It's obviously a significant effect," says Andrew Carleton, an atmospheric scientist at Pennsylvania State University in University Park and a member of Travis's team. “Locally, contrails are equally as significant as greenhouse gases."
[Christian Science Monitor July 29/97; Coastal Post Apr/97; Flug Revue June/98; Nature Aug/02]
But CO2 is not the only, or even the “baddest” jet turbine emission. Airliners and military jets like eight-engine B-52 carpet-bombers also produce enough ozone-eating nitrogen oxides and other greenhouse gases to ratchet up their total climate change contribution up to four-times higher than that of most other industries, reports Green Party European Parliament member, Caroline Lucas.
[BBC News Dec 20/06] Airbus Industries warns that the biggest jet pollutants - nitrogen oxides - are also the most dangerous. NOx emissions produce ozone in the lower atmosphere, trapping heat and sickening living organisms, just like the photochemical smog strangling the occupants in gridlocked toy traffic scrolling below.
“Oxides of nitrogen react with and destroy ozone in the stratosphere when exposed to ultraviolet radiation from the sun, Scanlon explains. “Flying in the stratosphere, these exhaust gases destroy ozone. Flying in the troposphere they produce ozone, a heat trapping gas in the 'wrong' place.”
[Coastal Post Apr/97]
As we enter the era of Peak Everything, corporate computers untroubled by an ongoing Sixth Great Extinction Event and not programmed for climate flips intend to add another 13,500 heavy jetliners to the world's crowded skies by 2017- more than doubling the current fleet. According to a Royal Commission on Environmental Pollution, if aviation grows as predicted, by 2050 it will contribute 75% of all greenhouse gas emissions over Britain.
[Sydney Herald. Sept 13/05] The insistent question remains: What are we going to do right now? Given the consequences of jet travel, the only sane answer is: We've got to stay on the ground. And find a low-impact way to aviate.
Even as the British government legislates strict carbon emission reductions, while okaying runway expansions at 13 major airports, the House of Commons Environmental Audit Committee says that the airline growth Whitehall is encouraging will require "the equivalent of another Heathrow every five years."
[AlterNet Mar 1/06]
“We must reduce aviation's expansion or give up on tackling climate change,” observes Caroline Lucas. “Flight numbers are projected to double by 2020 and triple by 2030. But it is also driving phenomenal growth in the airlines' greenhouse gas emissions, and therefore their contribution to devastating climate change. According to scientists at the Tyndall Centre, one of the UK's foremost climate change institutes, aviation's emissions are growing so fast that they will gobble up all reductions from every other sector if they are left unchecked.”
[Independent June 22/06]
Airbus 340 $7,500
The good news is that a global scientific consensus is emerging that the warming must be kept below a further global increase of three degrees Fahrenheit if complete catastrophe is to be averted. This means the world must reduce atmospheric emissions by 50% by 2050. Rich countries - and the biggest carbon emitter, China - must cut theirs by 30% by 2020.
[Independent Feb 9/05]
A spokeswoman for the Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs said "We agree that the 'polluter pays' principle should apply to aviation as to other sections, and that aviation should meet its external costs, including the costs of its contribution to climate change."
[Guardian Oct 17/06] In the face of stiff opposition from the airline industry, the European Union is about to impose extra “carbon” charges on foreign and domestic carriers. "We are showing our determination to fight climate change," said Europe's environment commissioner, Stavros Dimas in Brussels. "This is one way to persuade other countries to come along with us." Starting in 2011, the legally binding rules will apply to all flights within the European Union. Peter Lockley, a policy analyst at the Aviation Environment Federation in London, praised Dimas for "standing up to pressure from the U.S. and certain sections of the aviation industry" by including all flights landing at and taking off from European airports. Lockley also urged that airlines, like other heavy polluters in Europe, be required to reduce their emissions from 1990 levels, rather than hold at present levels.
Richard Dyer, of Friends of the Earth, told the BBC: "This is a tiny step in the right direction. It's not big enough, not urgent enough and not soon enough."
[BBC News Dec 20/06] As in other countries like the United States, UK airlines and airports enjoy about $22 billion of tax breaks and subsidies. Unlike motorists screaming for relief from doubling pump prices, no airline pays tax on fuel. If they did, the British Exchequer would have more than $12 billion in extra revenue to deal with climate shift. [Sydney Herald. Sept 13/05; Guardian Oct 17/06]
Glaciologists are “shell-shocked,” echoes Ted Scambos, lead scientist at the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colorado.
“It is happening quicker than we thought-in some cases the responses have been within months,” adds Abdalati. previous estimates (of sea-level rise) are being outpaced.”
[New York Times Jan 8/08; Guardian July 14/04; Washington Times Dec 16/04] A one-foot rise will swamp shorelines, moving the most gradually sloping shores permanently inland 100 feet or more. A 20-inch rise in sea level will put 3,500 square miles of the southern coast of the United States underwater. Problem is, writes Stephen Hume, “The most productive arable land for most of humanity lies at the present sea level in coastal regions.” An three-foot sea level rise will flood and salinate “something like 30% of the world's agricultural lands,” reports the Global Warming Crisis Council. About 100 million people now live within three feet of sea level. If the Greenland icecap continues sliding into the ocean, the splash will send sea levels worldwide jumping by about 25 feet.
If this meltdown is not immediately slowed through deep carbon cuts, more than two-thirds of the world's large cities, and 634 million people living in coastal areas worldwide will be displaced by rising sea levels. Hundreds of millions more people living less than 33 feet above sea level will be fleeing storm surge flooding cities like Los Angeles and New York.
[11th Hour DVD; Vancouver Sun Feb 4/08; Global Warming Crisis Council Aug/03; [New York Times Sept 28/05; Reuters Aug 23/07 and Oct 10/08; Independent July 20/07; AP; discovery.com Mar 28/07] Is zooming through thin air more than two miles above the Earth worth the risk to planet and passengers? Or should we be booking with passenger-accommodating freighters, taking the train, or staying home instead? "We do not have much time and we do not have any serious option. If we do not act quickly to minimise runaway feedback effects we run the risk of making this planet, our home, uninhabitable," warned UK environment minister, Michael Meacher in 2002. Tony Juniper, Executive Director, Friends of the Earth, adds: "The convenience we enjoy in covering huge distances in a short time is one of the fast-growing threats to life on earth." Unless the boom in cheap flights is halted, countries will not be able to meet the Kyoto and Bali targets for cutting back the emissions that are heating the oceans and atmosphere, with catastrophic consequences. The reporters conclude: “People will have to be 'priced off planes' and the cheap flights bonanza will have to end.” [Independent May 28/05]
Luckily for the continuance of human civilization, this is already happening as the end of cheap oil is about to make jet travel a luxury affordable only by a few. With each 10% increase in airline ticket prices, reducing ridership by up to 15%, the number of scheduled flights in the United States has already dropped to 22,900 fewer flights than the previous May. And given surging fuel prices - up a staggering 85% from a year ago - service cuts will continue, New York Times predicts.
[Guardian Oct 17/06; New York Time May 21/08]
He was referring to airplanes that burn most of their fuel fighting gravity and drag. With nearly half of all short-haul flights in Europe around 300 miles - and similar airline use in the U.S. - fuel-gulping jets straining for altitude barely level off in cruise before descending again. As for the propeller-driven Beachcraft and Cessna commuter shuttles, says airline industry consultant Robert Mann Jr. “You can profitably fly small airplanes only if the people on them pay very high prices.”
[New York Time May 21/08 Independent May 28/05]
Worldwide passenger air miles were predicted to exceed 7 billion miles a year by 2020. And air cargo has been growing from 2.2 million tons in 2002 to a forecast 5 million tons of airborne freight in 2010.
Since these demands for air transport are only going to increase, the turbulence currently upsetting world airlines with skyrocketing fuel prices are creating a silver lining for the return of cloud-like airships using modern materials, advanced technologies and hydrogen-solar-fueled electric propulsion to move passengers in ocean liner-like luxury and bulk goods point-to-point, without elaborate airports virtually anywhere on the globe for a fraction of the cost of levitating heavy aircraft.
[Sydney Herald. Sept 13/05; Independent May 28/05] Or maybe not. As jetliners and cargo planes become non-cost competitive in the face of rising fuel costs and imminent carbon taxes, the world's merchant fleet is about to be hobbled by similar carbon levies on annual emissions already exceeding one billion tons of CO2. That's nearly 4.5% of all global emissions from shipping more carbon-spewing cars, more cheap junk to Wal-Mart and many other nonessentials across dying oceans. Sulphur and soot emissions from cargo ships have also been found by a peer-reviewed study to be killing 60,000 people every year. [Guardian Feb 13/08] The only conveyances that can possibly address our long- and short-haul air transport needs are lower-flying, fuel efficient - preferably electric-powered - solar airships. (Future airship executives take note: With conventional airfares driven by maintenance and fuel costs, after 2,200 kilometers on my own electric vehicle, I have found simple electromagnetic electric motors to be silent, powered by pennies, and 100% maintenance free.) Is it time to bring back the zeppelins? No. It's time to bring on the Dynalifters, Aerostats, and other modern variants of this arcane yet fabulously successful aeronautical technology. Will you be among the first to build the ship pictured below? |